← Epidemiological Modelling

Endemic equilibria

An endemic equilibrium is a steady state at which infection remains present in the population.

Definition

For a compartmental model, equilibrium values are found by setting every time derivative equal to zero. An endemic equilibrium additionally requires a positive infected component.

SIS example

For the simple SIS model with \(S+I=N\), a positive equilibrium satisfies

\[I^*=N\left(1-\frac{1}{R_0}\right),\]

which is positive when \(R_0>1\).

Interpretation

An endemic equilibrium represents persistence at constant modelled compartment sizes, not absence of individual infection and recovery events.

Key idea. Endemic equilibrium describes long-term persistence of infection in the deterministic model.