← Epidemiological Modelling

SIRS and SEIRS models

SIRS and SEIRS models extend SIR and SEIR models by allowing immunity to wane.

\[S\to I\to R\to S,\qquad S\to E\to I\to R\to S.\]

Waning immunity

If immunity is lost at per-capita rate \(\omega\), a term \(\omega R\) transfers individuals from the recovered class back to susceptibility.

For an SIRS model,

\[\frac{dR}{dt}=\gamma I-\omega R,\qquad \frac{dS}{dt}=-\beta\frac{SI}{N}+\omega R.\]

Biological consequence

Because susceptible individuals are replenished, infection may persist or recur rather than producing only one epidemic wave.

Key idea. SIRS-type models are useful when immunity is temporary rather than permanent.